Tuesday 18 August 2015

The ‘Liquorice Allsorts’ Aylesbury Property market


Despite the UK economy heading in the right direction with record low mortgage rates and unemployment figures dropping, the rate of property prices rising in Aylesbury has slowed since the start of the year. Property value increases continue to outpace the growth in salaries, however the gap is closing, helped by a lift in salaries over the last 6 months.  Property values in the South East region as a whole are 9.1 higher than a year ago.  Compare this to the neighbouring regions of the South West at 3.6% higher and West Midlands at 3.5%, the majority of the country continue to see annual house price gains - the exception being Wales which recorded a slight  decline of -0.6%.

Even with the tempering in house price inflation, it does not necessarily change my outlook that property prices are likely to be firmer over the second half of 2015 amid heightening activity in the Aylesbury property market.  As stated in a previous article, there is a current shortage of properties on the market, restricting supply, which in turn will provide stability and support to Aylesbury property prices. Therefore, my overall opinion is that Aylesbury property prices will rise by 6% over 2015 and roughly the same in 2016.
Property investment is a long term business.  Buying the right sort of property is vital.  I have recently been speaking with a number of Aylesbury landlords about the importance of a balanced portfolio, when buying and renting out property.  The balance between buying properties that offer good monthly returns (high yields) but quite often offer poor capital growth (i.e. they don't increase in value that much over the years compared with the average) versus properties that do go up in value quicker but often offer a lower yield.  So, what type of properties have performed best over the last few years in Aylesbury, especially in terms of their capital growth?
Compare the average price of detached, semi-detached, terraced and flats back at the start of the Millennium to the present.  The results are quite remarkably different, almost like a bag of Liquorice Allsorts, as the different types of property have performed poles apart over the last 15 years:
Detached Houses in 2000 were selling on average for £185,751 and so far in 2015, they have been selling on average in Aylesbury for £337,438, a rise of 82%
Semi -Detached Houses in 2000 were selling on average for £105,512 and so far in 2015, they have been selling on average in Aylesbury for £247,606 a rise of 135%
Terraced Houses in 2000 were selling on average for £86,303 and so far in 2015, they have been selling on average in Aylesbury for £218,941 a rise of 154%
Flats and Apartments in 2000 were selling on average for £61,047 and so far in 2015, they have been selling on average in Aylesbury for £140,165 a rise of 130%
What should new and existing buy to let landlords do with this information?  Well, the questions I seem to be asked on an almost daily basis by landlords are:
“Should I sell my property in Aylesbury?”
“Is the time right to buy another buy to let property in Aylesbury and if not Aylesbury, where?”
“Are there any property bargains out there in Aylesbury to be had?” 
Aylesbury landlords, who are letting their property both with us and other  Aylesbury letting agents, like to pop in for a coffee,  pick up the phone or email us to  discuss the Aylesbury property market, how Aylesbury compares with its closest rivals (Leighton Buzzard, Luton and Tring), and hopefully answer the three questions above.  I don’t bite, I don’t do hard sell, but I will give you my honest and straight talking opinion and look forward to hearing from you. 01296 398555 ian@mortimersaylesbury.co.uk
Did someone mention Liquorice Allsorts?
 

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