Friday 4 December 2015

The Aylesbury market in 2015

Many landlords have been asking me my thoughts on the Aylesbury property market recently, and in particular, what is happening to property values. Property values in Aylesbury grew in the month of September by 0.4%. When one looks at the annual growth, Aylesbury values are 8.4% higher (when comparing Sept 14 to Sept 15).  However, there are signs that the fundamental growth of property values in Aylesbury has now peaked, despite those average property values being above levels recorded in 2007 (just before the 2008 crash).

Even though prices are higher this month, this impressive rise of Aylesbury property values masks the underlying truth in what is really happening to local property values in the town. Throughout 2015, property values have been yo-yo like on a month by month basis, being quite volatile in nature.  For example,
·         September 2015               0.4% rise

·         August 2015                       1.4% rise

·         July 2015                              1.3% rise

·         June 2015                            0.9% rise

·         May 2015                             0.2% rise
This is in part due to seasonal factors, as well as mortgage approvals increasing over June and July and then falling by over 15% in August, according to the Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML).

The outlook for the Aylesbury property market remains positive against the foundations of low mortgage rates and growing consumer confidence. Aylesbury property values are still running ahead of salaries and average property values are 13.2% above the levels recorded in 2007.
Talking to fellow property professionals in the town, demand for property has been showing signs of moderating in the final few months of 2015, which in turn will lead to a slight slowdown in the pace of house price growth in the run up to the festive season. You see, it is really important not to read too much into one month’s (September’s) headline figures.
Readers might be interested to note that before the 2008 property crash, all the UK region’s housing markets tended to move up and down in tandem like the Aylesbury Synchronised Swimming team.  Since then though, the Greater London property market took off like a rocket in 2009/10, whilst the rest of the UK only really started to grow in 2012/13, and even then that growth was a lot more modest than the Capital’s.
Looking closer to home, it can even be different in neighbouring towns, areas and cities, so whilst Aylesbury property values are 8.4% higher than a year ago (as mentioned above), Milton Keynes property values are 9.1% higher than a year ago.
If you are considering buying to let in the area I cannot stress enough the importance of doing your homework.  One source of information and advice is the Aylesbury Property Blog where I have similar articles to this about the Aylesbury property market and what I consider.  If you have not visited and you are interested in the local property market in Aylesbury….. you are missing out! http://theaylesburypropertyblog.blogspot.co.uk/

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