My latest analysis,
using the Land Registry and Office of National Statistics, shows that overall,
month on month, Aylesbury property values increased by 0.2%. The year on year
figures showed the value of residential property in Aylesbury has increased by 10.3%
in the year to the end February 2016, taking the average value of a property in
the council area to £330,100.
We can look at
the last few months’ figures and see the patterns that seem to be emerging.
·
January 2016 - a rise of 0.9%
·
December 2015 - a rise of 0.9%
·
November 2015 - a rise of 1.0%
We have talked
in many recent articles about the lack of properties being built in Aylesbury
over the last 30 years. This lack of new building has been the biggest factor
that has contributed to Aylesbury property values being 275.31% higher than in
1995. At the risk of repeating myself, until the Government addresses this
issue, and allows more properties to be built, things will continue to get
worse as the UK population grows at just under 500,000 people a year (which is a
combination of around 226,000 people because of higher birth rates/people
living longer and 259,000 net migration) whilst the country is only building
152,400 properties a year – no wonder demand is outstripping supply.
Another reason intensifying the current level of property values in Aylesbury,
is the fact that people are not moving home as much as they used to. Fewer
properties are coming onto the market for sale, so in consequence, there is a
lack of choice of property to buy, meaning people thinking of moving are discouraged
from putting their property on the market ... thus perpetuating the problem, as
the scarcity of possible properties to buy in order to move also deters people
from offering their home for sale. This unevenness between demand from would-be
purchasers and the number of properties coming on to the market for sale is
causing pressures in Aylesbury (and the rest of the UK). Over the last few
weeks we are frequently seeing property fought over by buyers as the supply is
so weak, resulting in prices over asking price being achieved.
So what of the future of the Aylesbury property market, my daughter and
her friends? I firmly believe the property market in Aylesbury and the country
as a whole is changing its attitude about homeownership. Back in the 1960’s,
70’s, 80’s and 90’s, getting on the property ladder was everything. Since the
late 1990’s, we as a country (in particular, the young) have slowly started to
change our attitude to homeownership. We are moving to a more European model,
where people choose to rent in their 20’s and 30’s (meaning they can move
freely and not be tied to a property), then inherit money in their later years
when their property owning parents pass away, allowing them to buy property
themselves ... just like they do in Germany and other mature European countries,
meaning my daughter will end up owning property, just later in life than we did.
So, whatever the vote on the 23rd of June, if you think about it, we might be
more European than we think!
Patrolling the penalty box. |
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