Whilst
doing my research for my many blog posts on the Aylesbury Property Market, I
know that a third of 25 to 30 year olds still live at home. It’s no wonder
people are kicking out against buy to let landlords; as they are the greedy bad
people who are cashing in on a social woe. In fact, most people believe the high increases in Aylesbury’s
(and the rest of the UK’s) house prices are the very reason owning a home is outside
the grasp of these younger would-be property owners.
However, the
numbers tell a different story. Looking of the age of first time buyers since
1990, the statistics could be seen to pour cold water on the idea that younger people
are being priced out of the housing market. In 1990, when data was first published,
the average age of a first time buyer was 33, today it’s 31.
Nevertheless,
the average age doesn't tell the whole story. In the early 1990’s, 26.7% of
first-time buyers were under 25, while in the last five years just 14.9% were. In
the early 1990’s, four out of ten first time buyers were 25 to 34 years of age
and now its six out of ten first time buyers.
Although,
there are also indications of how un-affordable housing is, the house
price-to-earnings ratio has almost doubled for first-time buyers in the past 30
years. In 1983, the average Aylesbury home cost a first-time buyer (or buyers
in the case of joint mortgages) the equivalent of 3.0 times their total annual
earnings, whilst today, that has escalated to 6.1 times their income.
Again, those
figures don’t tell the whole story. Back in 1983, the mortgage payments as
percentage of mean take home pay for an Aylesbury first time buyer was 31.2%.
In 1989, that had risen to 78.6%. Today, it’s 38.6% … and no that’s not a typo
.. 38.6% is the correct figure.
So, to answer my friends questions about the younger generation of Aylesbury being able to
afford to buy and if it was right for
landlords to make money on the inability of others to buy property? It isn’t
all to do with affordability as the numbers show.
And what of the landlords? Some say the government
should sort the housing problem out themselves, but according to my calculations,
£18bn a year would need to be spent for the next 20 or so years to meet current
demand for households. That would be the equivalent of raising income tax by 4p
in the Pound. I don’t think UK tax payers would swallow that.
So, if the Government haven’t got the money… who
else will house these people? Private Sector Landlords and thankfully
they have taken up the slack over the last 15 years.
Some say there is a tendency to equate property ownership
with national prosperity, but this isn’t necessarily the case. The youngsters of Aylesbury are buying
houses, but buying later in life. Also, many Aylesbury youngsters are actively
choosing to rent for the long term, as it gives them flexibility – something
our 21st Century society craves more than ever.
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